Ribchester has just smashed the course record at Ascot and with Firm creeping into the going we have the potential for a possible strong bias. By means of a bit of fun I will test this theory by posting up possible bets in all handicaps. There will be multiple selections but to BFSP the possibility of profit over the week should the going remain fast is realistic.

5.00 Today

Inicia
Oceane
Rainbow Dreamer
Sueugioo
Shrewd
High Secret

LAY Beyond Conceit

Day 2

5.0
George Williamson
Elleval
Banksea
My Target
Bossy Guest
Remarkable
Tashweeq
Bravery
Hors De Combat
Another Touch
Boomshackerlacker
GM Hopkins
Withernsea

Lay G K Chesterton

5.35
Baileys Showgirl
Gymnaste
Dancing Breeze
Con Te Partito
Asking
Rain Goddess
Classical Times
Cheval Blanche

Lay – Sibilance

Day 3
5.0
Ronald R
Bless Him
Tricorn
Lightning Fast
Afaah
Maths Prize
City of Joy
Moritzburg
Medahim
Keyser Soze
Colibri

No Lays

5.35
Twin Star
Weekender
Bin Battuta
Tartini
Never Surrender
Utah
Master Singer
Good Omen
Janszoon
Atty Persse

Lay Sofias Rock

Day 4

5.35

Lustrious Light
Eddystone Rock
Star Storm
Manjaam
Mainstream
Wadigor
Petite Jack
Sixties Grove
Master Carpenter
Shabeeb

No Lays

Day 5
I remain unconvinced, looking at the times, that the ground has any firm in it. I think the clerks have done a good job of taking the firm out of the course and with temp’s modest today I think it would be prudent to draw stumps even though I have the lists prepared.

Results

61 plays PL +36 pts to BFSP before comm 59% ROI

FOOTNOTE – Perhaps I was premature in drawing a line on Saturday after all the research is based on Firm being present in the going description regardless and also the painful fact that the two lists for the two Saturday Handicaps contained Snoana who won at 40.0 and Outdo who won at 42.0 !!

If there is any interest I will be happy to demonstrate how the horses running against the bias can be bet profitably next time out, in particular at Newmarket where they have done very well historically

Advertisements