I have not looked at whether distinguishing between AW and Turf would help yet. At the moment the pars are a combination of AW and Turf and the examination of past runs and last run are also regardless of whether they were on Turf or AW. I will come back to this and see if this is likely to improve matters.

Here are today’s figures for Hcps. If you feel publishing these daily would help let me know and I will put them up on the web site. Just to clarify as an example Artfilly has a last SF 39.6 below par for today’s race whilst her best SF from the last 6 runs is 5.6 below today’s race par.

Rtime, Horse, Diff Last SF and Par, Diff Best of Last 6 and Par

14:00,Artfilly,-39.6,-5.6
14:00,As A Dream,-28.6,-18.6
14:00,Brown Velvet,-0.6,9.4
14:00,Ciaras Cookie,-19.6,-6.6
14:00,Diracan,-13.6,-8.6
14:00,Emilys Girl,-60.6,-60.6
14:00,Hound Music,-12.6,-12.6
14:00,Magic Mac,-25.6,-25.6
14:00,Renaissant,-10.6,-2.6
14:00,Roxie Lot,-20.6,-20.6
14:00,Scarlet Bounty,-0.6,-0.6
14:00,War Paint,-21.6,-12.6
14:00,White Vin Jan,-8.6,-3.6
14:00,Zuzinia,-3.6,7.4

16:40,Captain Secret,-74.5,21.5
16:40,Harwoods Volante,-19.5,-8.5
16:40,Meritocracy,-9.5,1.5
16:40,Oriental Relation,-16.5,-16.5
16:40,Our Queenie,-28.5,0.5
16:40,Outer Space,-7.5,0.5
16:40,Perfect Alchemy,-7.5,-7.5
16:40,Polybius,-7.5,6.5
16:40,Royal Mezyan,-25.5,9.5
16:40,Souville,-11.5,3.5

17:10,Cotton Club,-3.1,4.9
17:10,Crystal Nymph,12.9,12.9
17:10,Daydreamer,-14.1,20.9
17:10,Freemason,-60.1,-6.1
17:10,Fun Mac,-43.1,18.9
17:10,Gavlar,-15.1,10.9
17:10,Heska,-60.1,-6.1
17:10,Invasor Luck,5.9,9.9
17:10,Royal Warranty,-2.1,-2.1
17:10,Tucson Arizona,9.9,9.9

17:40,Big Whiskey,-65.6,13.4
17:40,Bombardment,10.4,10.4
17:40,Embankment,-50.6,-21.6
17:40,Killing Time,-61.6,10.4
17:40,Matravers,-0.6,-0.6
17:40,Messila Star,8.4,8.4
17:40,Myboyalfie,-65.6,3.4
17:40,Ogbourne Downs,-38.6,5.4
17:40,Orions Bow,-15.6,-10.6
17:40,Royal Preserve,-15.6,-8.6
17:40,Suehail,-45.6,14.4
17:40,Tides Reach,-51.6,-7.6
17:40,Whipper Snapper,2.4,2.4

14:20,Amis Reunis,-39.1,-7.1
14:20,Bearskin,-31.1,-2.1
14:20,Berbice,-31.1,-28.1
14:20,Captain Scooby,-20.1,-11.1
14:20,Dream Ally,-25.1,-14.1
14:20,Economic Crisis,-22.1,-5.1
14:20,Oriental Heights,-40.1,-40.1
14:20,Pitt Rivers,-60.1,-8.1
14:20,Rio Sands,-60.1,-29.1
14:20,Rock Canyon,-42.1,-10.1
14:20,Rylee Mooch,-3.1,-1.1
14:20,Saxonette,-31.1,-5.1
14:20,See Vermont,-26.1,-20.1
14:20,Slim Chance,7.9,7.9
14:20,Stoneacre Oskar,-24.1,-24.1
14:20,Very First Blade,-60.1,-10.1

16:00,Extrasolar,0.0,7.0
16:00,Holley Shiftwell,-13.9,-4.9
16:00,Judge n Jury,-0.9,9.0
16:00,Major Crispies,-15.9,-4.9
16:00,Millys Gift,-2.9,19.0
16:00,Silvanus,-10.9,14.0
16:00,Smart Daisy K,11.0,13.0
16:00,Taajub,1.0,9.0
16:00,Top Boy,-42.9,9.0

14:50,Incurs Four Faults,-16.3,6.7
14:50,Mariners Moon,9.7,9.7
14:50,Mister Uno,-15.3,-5.3
14:50,Saranta,-54.3,-26.3
14:50,Stanarley Pic,-3.3,12.7
14:50,Zanouska,-1.3,5.7

17:00,Alpine Storm,-1.1,9.9
17:00,Black Dave,-19.1,-4.1
17:00,Cincuenta Pasos,6.9,6.9
17:00,Comanchero,-13.1,0.9
17:00,Faure Island,9.9,9.9
17:00,Pendo,-4.1,-1.1
17:00,Siouxperhero,-31.1,8.9
17:00,Top Set,-57.1,2.9
17:00,Trulee Scrumptious,-9.1,5.9
17:00,Vainglory,-58.1,-4.1

17:30,Celestial Bay,-37.4,4.6
17:30,Harry Bosch,-57.4,2.6
17:30,Lady Crossmar,4.6,7.6
17:30,Malaysian Boleh,-57.4,-6.4
17:30,Mister Mayday,-21.4,-8.4
17:30,Ostralegus,-25.4,4.6
17:30,Perfect Mission,-28.4,10.6
17:30,Persian Bolt,-3.4,1.6
17:30,Rose Buck,-14.4,8.6
17:30,Speedy Writer,-57.4,7.6
17:30,Strike A Light,-4.4,-1.4

15:20,Dabuki,-50.6,12.3
15:20,Dhaular Dhar,-11.6,7.3
15:20,Eilean Mor,-9.6,-9.6
15:20,Henpecked,0.3,8.3
15:20,King Of Paradise,-31.6,-4.6
15:20,Magnolia Ridge,5.3,15.3
15:20,Mays Boy,-39.6,3.3
15:20,Merchant Of Medici,-21.6,3.3
15:20,Remember Rocky,-6.6,9.3
15:20,Ronald Gee,-28.6,-7.6
15:20,Royal Straight,-4.6,3.3
15:20,Schmooze,-29.6,-0.6
15:20,Smirfys Blackcat,-50.6,-50.6
15:20,Snow Dancer,-50.6,1.3
15:20,Triple Eight,-17.6,-1.6

15:50,Alexandrakollontai,-9.5,-6.5
15:50,Lady Frances,-24.5,-4.5
15:50,Love Island,-20.5,7.5
15:50,Ridge Ranger,-77.5,-16.5
15:50,Ventura Mist,-12.5,8.5

16:50,Declamation,-58.1,-5.1
16:50,Ebony Clarets,-24.1,-24.1
16:50,Funding Deficit,-14.1,-7.1
16:50,Indian Giver,-30.1,-5.1
16:50,Nelsons Bay,-32.1,1.9
16:50,Rockys Pride,-20.1,-12.1
16:50,Rust,-36.1,-13.1
16:50,Staffhoss,-4.1,1.9
16:50,Violent Velocity,-58.1,-13.1

17:20,Blue Sonic,-15.1,-15.1
17:20,Dark Crystal,-46.1,-0.1
17:20,Last Destination,-53.1,-2.1
17:20,Lil Sophella,-41.1,-8.1
17:20,Outlaw Torn,-58.1,-15.1
17:20,Raise A Billion,-37.1,-18.1
17:20,Rioja Day,-50.1,-24.1
17:20,Smirfys Silver,-58.1,-40.1
17:20,Spavento,-44.1,-11.1

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